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To reverse a decade of weakening total factor productivity, regional labour market policy is moving from basic job development to handling active workforce shifts. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in information analytics and digital operations to gear up employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based knowing and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms incorporate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional governments are intensifying their concentrate on expense discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is rotating towards the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, utilities, and desalination to redirect funds toward higher-impact financial investments. While loaning via sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is expected to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on enhancing non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East economic policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC federal governments are now concentrated on delivery. In 2026, the concern is reinforcing economic resilience through more secure trade and investment relationships, effective AI release, managed labor force shifts and disciplined financial policy in a more challenging and fragmented international environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's financial growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, resilient domestic demand and renewed financial investment momentum, according to the current ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to surpass most worldwide areas peers next year, with regional GDP forecast to grow by 4.4%. Across the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, improving credit conditions and rising investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is expected to increase once again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the area's medium-term outlook, it stated. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP forecast to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Growth will be supported by industrial expansion and policy reforms, including eased foreign ownership guidelines that aim to stimulate more investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to broaden to 5.6% of GDP next year amidst softer oil rates, while the current five-year lease freeze in Riyadh aims to ease inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future housing supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise positioned for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to increase 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to expand. Tourism, trade and financial services stay key growth drivers, supported by population growth and continual domestic need. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is anticipated to pick up again in the second half of 2026, complementing continuous financial investment in infrastructure, innovation and global trade collaborations. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, stated: "This quarter's outlook strengthens how far the GCC has actually been available in structure diverse, resistant and worldwide competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Advisor, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are going into 2026 with strong foundations. Saudi non-oil activity is gaining rate, supported by robust need and increasing investment, even as fiscal pressures increase.""The UAE continues to take advantage of solid domestic fundamentals, a sharp uplift in federal government costs and continual diversity efforts.
Why Riyadh Is Becoming the Ultimate Middle East Company DestinationWhat identifies 2026 from preceding years is not simply the velocity of technological change, though that velocity is genuine, however rather an essential shift in how enterprises conceive of their GCCs' function. The is anticipated to grow to four hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, however this development masks a more profound change.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss responsibility, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal start-ups, agile, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply aligned with international company outcomes. This shift from execution to ownership represents perhaps the single most significant tactical recalibration in the GCC model's development.
Today, we're assembling more than 3000 meetings between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're bringing together financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what comes next, including the growth and ongoing advancement of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing role in global networks of capital and trade.
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